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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-06-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5352
R2 5331
R1 5304
Avg 5283
S1 5256
S2 5235
S3 5208

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5326     Trgt 2
H5 5315     Trgt 1
H4 5304     Long breakout
H3 5291     Go Short
H2 5286
H1 5282
L1 5273
L2 5269
L3 5264     Long
L4 5251     Short Breakout
L5 5240     Trgt 1
L6 5229     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-06-2011

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 5352
R2 5332
R1 5307
Avg 5287
S1 5262
S2 5242
S3 5217

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5328     Trgt 2
H5 5317     Trgt 1
H4 5307     Long breakout
H3 5295     Go Short
H2 5291
H1 5287
L1 5278
L2 5274
L3 5270     Long
L4 5258     Short Breakout
L5 5248     Trgt 1
L6 5237     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-06-2011

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 10669
R2 10615
R1 10553
Avg 10499
S1 10437
S2 10383
S3 10321

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10608     Trgt 2
H5 10582     Trgt 1
H4 10555     Long breakout
H3 10523     Go Short
H2 10513
H1 10502
L1 10481
L2 10470
L3 10460     Long
L4 10428     Short Breakout
L5 10401     Trgt 1
L6 10375     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(22-06-2011)

Range of 5275-532 was given at 12:42:00 AM  today and Nifty traded most of the time between this range and also closing within it. As consolidation seen therefore following line was also told in Mid-session Outlook2

As today intraday trading patterns are showing consolidations therefore view will not be bearish until Nifty will not sustain below 5270

Nifty could not sustain below 5270 today.

Intra day Patterns are mixed today.

Mid-session Outlook3(22-06-2011)

Intraday selling also seen between 5287-5297 today. it is follow up selling after yesterday selling between 5290-5320.

Lower levels buying and higher levels selling therefore conclusion is same:-

Next moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5270-5320

Mid-session Outlook2(22-06-2011)

Next moves confirmation range of 5275-5320 was given for today trading and Nifty traded most of the time within this range with intraday consolidation patterns.

As today intraday trading patterns are showing consolidations therefore view will not be bearish until Nifty will not sustain below 5270. Last 2 days selling range is 5290-5320.

Next moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5270-5320

Mid-session Outlook(22-06-2011)

Mixed Intra day sentiments today:-

1- Weak  due to 3 pattern breaking down on 22-06-2011
2- Strong due to strong global markets.

Mixed trading positions today:-

1- Weak due to good selling between 5290-5320 in last 2 days
2- Positive due to today intraday buying between 5270-5278 today.

Next moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 5270-5320

Post-open Outlook-2(22-06-2011)

When US markets were surging after strong European markets closing then range(5275-5320) was given in Mid night for watching and Nifty traded most of the time today within mentioned range today. When Nifty was trading near highs then also Weakness was told in Post-open Outlook and Indian markets slipped from higher levels also.

Last 2 days intraday selling between 5275-5320 and today trading within this range today.Nifty sustaining below this range will mean again sharp fall.

Post-open Outlook(22-06-2011)


Positive but Weak opening today.

Watch Sustaining Beyond 5275-5320 Amid Global Bullish Markets

Market Outlook(22-06-2011)

All the trends were already down and following 3 crucial Patterns gave Bear market confirmation after sharp 141 points fall on 20-06-2011:-

1- 4 months Head & Shoulders Pattern Neckline broken down below 5356.
2- 18 Months Rising Trend Line Broken Down5356.
3- 34 Sessions Trading Range Broken Down below 5329.

(Just click above links for detailed analysis)

Crossing 5329 and then sustaining above 5356 will be up moves confirmation and sustaining below 5329 will be long Bear market confirmation.

Next support range is 5220-5250 and next resistances are as follows:-

1- Next Resistance range is 5300-5320
2- Next Resistance range is 5360-5385
3- Next Resistance range is 5400-5440
4- Next Resistance range is 5480-5604

Sustaining above 5320 will be first upmove indication but chain of resistances therefore crossing 5385 will be up moves confirmation. Indian markets are well prepared for tanking and sustaining below 5220 will be long Bear phase confirmation.

Intraday patterns of 20-06-2011 and following days will give first confirmation of next big moves. Just click following links for Intraday charts analysis:-

1- Nifty-Intra Day Chart(20-06-2011)
2- Nifty-Intra Day Chart(21-06-2011)

Conclusions from last 2 sessions Intra Day Charts analysis

Selling seen between 5275-5320 in last 2 days and Nifty closed at 5275.85 on 21-06-2011 therefore this range will be watched first and sustaining beyond will be next moves confirmation. Strong support between 5220-5250 at lower levels and complete selling patterns are required for next big down moves confirmations

As last 2 sessions selling below support range of 5329 therefore strong indication of more weakness but sustaining beyond 5275-5320 will be watched first today because:-

1- Very short term indicators are oversold and indicating bounce back possibility.
2- Nifty moved below lower band of Bollinger-Band and indicating bounce back possibility.
3- Expected that Global cues will be strong today morning.

Bollinger-Band & Very short term indicators
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Firstly watch sustaining beyond 5275-5320 amid global bullish markets for next moves confirmations.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 22-06-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(21-06-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Main Features

1- Minor buying between 5258-5278
2- 3 Hours selling between 5300-5320
3- Minor buying between 5265-5278

Conclusions

Minor buying at lower levels today but 3 hours follow up Selling was also seen between 5300-5320. As today selling was below support range of 5329 therefore more weakness expected in the coming sessions.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 21-Jun-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 21-Jun-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Junket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII21-Jun-20111699.742263.1-563.36


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Junket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII21-Jun-20111143.76713.35430.41

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(21-06-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Doji Candle
2- Almost all the Indices closed with minor gains or minor loss.
3- Market slipped after Selling at higher levels.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.82
Nifty P/E Ratio(21-06-2011): 19.48

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1114
BSE DECLINES : 1679
NSE ADVANCES :  566
NSE DECLINES :  831

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today


Nifty- 5200 CE(Jun)- -33700(-1.37%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jun)- +1096250(+15.16%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Jun)- +695550(+14.70%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Jun)- +441600(+7.59%)

Closing

Nifty- closed at 5,275.85(+17.95 Points & +0.34%)
Sensex- closed at 17,560.30(+53.67 Points & +0.31%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,698.05(-34.35 Points & -0.44%%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,874.14(-33.83 Points & -0.43%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-06-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5377
R2 5349
R1 5312
Avg 5284
S1 5247
S2 5219
S3 5182

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5340     Trgt 2
H5 5325     Trgt 1
H4 5310     Long breakout
H3 5292     Go Short
H2 5286
H1 5280
L1 5269
L2 5263
L3 5257     Long
L4 5239     Short Breakout
L5 5224     Trgt 1
L6 5209.     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-06-2011

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 5461
R2 5416
R1 5346
Avg 5301
S1 5231
S2 5186
S3 5116

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5392     Trgt 2
H5 5366     Trgt 1
H4 5340     Long breakout
H3 5308     Go Short
H2 5298
H1 5287
L1 5266
L2 5255
L3 5245     Long
L4 5213     Short Breakout
L5 5187     Trgt 1
L6 5161     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-06-2011

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 10841
R2 10760
R1 10617
Avg 10536
S1 10393
S2 10312
S3 10169

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10698     Trgt 2
H5 10647     Trgt 1
H4 10597     Long breakout
H3 10535     Go Short
H2 10515
H1 10494
L1 10453
L2 10432
L3 10412     Long
L4 10350     Short Breakout
L5 10300     Trgt 1
L6 10249     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(21-06-2011)

When Nifty was trading near higher levels today then doubts on that upmove were shown and following lines were told in Mid-session Outlook today:-

1- firstly crossing 5329 and then sustaining above 5356 will be up moves confirmation otherwise today up move will be understood global good sentiments driven pull back rally only.

2- 3 crucial patterns broken down yesterday therefore complete consolidations and confirmation is required for trend reversal.

Intraday selling seen between 5300-5320 today therefore Indian markets will remain weak in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook(21-06-2011)

All the Asian markets showed good recovery from lower levels of the day and either some are trading near day's higher levels or some have closed near highs of the day. US futures is also 40 points up and Indian markets also got support at lower levels of the day today therefore trading positive since opening today.

Indian markets intraday charts also showing lower levels consolidations patterns  today but firstly crossing 5329 and then sustaining above 5356 will be up moves confirmation otherwise today up move will be understood global good sentiments driven pull back rally only.

3 crucial patterns broken down yesterday therefore complete consolidations and confirmation is required for trend reversal

Post-open Outlook(21-06-2011)

Patterns of today are suggesting consolidation and lower levels buying between 5258-5278 therefore minor upmoves are visible. More consolidations and crossing of minimum one resistance will be any kind of up moves confirmation.

NIFTY-JUN F&O-1ST SELLING OF 20-06-2011-COVERING


NIFTY JUN F & O(SHORTED ON 20-06-2011)-COVER IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5262