RCOM(FEB FUT-BUY/CALL-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-115.90-TGT-128-S.P.FOR CALL-120,130-CMP-119.45
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
ICICI BANK-FEB F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-002-2011-TRADE
ICICI BANK(FEB FUT-BUY/CALL-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-988-TGT-1058-S.P.FOR CALL-1000,1150-CMP-1015
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
RIL & TATA MOTORS-FEB F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-002-2011-TRADE
RIL(FEB FUT-BUY/CALL-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-894-TGT-948-S.P.FOR CALL-920,940-CMP-918
TATA MOTORS(FEB FUT-BUY/CALL-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-1168-TGT-1128-S.P.FOR CALL-1100,1150-CMP-1086
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
TATA MOTORS(FEB FUT-BUY/CALL-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-1168-TGT-1128-S.P.FOR CALL-1100,1150-CMP-1086
(ALL RATES ARE SPOT)
Pre-Open Market Outlook(02-02-2011)
ABC correction is on and Wave-3 trendline broken(5460) down yesterday after sustaining below 200 day EMA(5646). Yesterday candle was Engulfing Bearish and it is also bearish move indication. All the technical indicators are signalling bearish market begining but following mild signals are telling for wait and watch a little before forming bearish market view:-
1-Although Indian markets closed more than 1% down yesterday but intraday charts of yesterday are not suggesting selling patterns therefore yesterday trading range(5400-5450) should be watched for bearish market confirmation.
2- Indicators are oversold and some are showing divergence also therefore bounce back posibility can not be ruled out.
Conclusion:-
All the confirmations of bearish markets begining but still Bullish markets expected because no Distribution pattern and only correction patterns. Still expecting rally and breaking out of 5400-5450 will be watched first for next immediate move confirmation.
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 02-02-2011
H5 5529 Trgt 1
H4 5500 Long breakout
H3 5464 Go Short
H2 5452
H1 5440
L1 5416
L2 5403
L3 5391 Long
L4 5356 Short Breakout
L5 5326 Trgt 1
L6 5297 Trgt 2
Trading Levels for 02-02-11
Nifty Spot Levels for 02-02-2011
R3 5637
R2 5587
R1 5502
AVG 5452
S1 5367
S2 5317
S3 5232
Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 02-02-2011
R3 5652
R2 5597
R1 5512
AVG 5457
S1 5372
S2 5317
S3 5232
Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 02-02-2011
R3 10902
R2 10811
R1 10652
AVG 10561
S1 10402
S2 10311
S3 10152
Pre-Open Market Outlook(01-02-2011)
When all the global markets were crashed then following lines were told yesterday. As relevant therefore repeating:-
1- Pre-Open Outlook:-
1- "As other markets were overbought therefore their correction was natural but Indian markets are oversold and will react this news in another manner"
2- "Sentiment completely depressed today morning and sustaining beyond 5460(spot) will decide fate of long term trend"
2- Mid-session Outlook at 12:15 pm:-
1- "Nifty opened and firstly traded below 5460 in deep depressed sentiments today morning and got intraday support at lower levels. All supports have been broken and only Wave-3 trendline support is left which is at 5460"
2- "Nifty opened and firstly traded below 5460 in deep depressed sentiments today morning and got intraday support at lower levels. All supports have been broken and only Wave-3 trendline support is left which is at 5460"
3- "Let more consolidation and support emerge then up move expectations will certainly be considered despite crashing global markets and Egypt internal problems"
Intraday charts of yesterday are showing genuine buying patterns and good support was seen at lower levels as well as good recovery seen before closing near trading high of the day. All this has given strong indication of 'ABC' correction completion but not sufficient and sustaining above 200-day EMA is must for on going uptrend confirmation.
As no distribution pattern in last 4 months EOD chart and 'ABC'correction seen therefore fresh rally possibility is alive after emergence of correction completion signals in last 2 sessions. Detailed analysis has been posted in weekly and 200-day EMA testing is possible in the coming sessions. Sustaining above 200-day EMA is must now for confirmation of mentioned uptrend.
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 01-02-2011
H5 5608 Trgt 1 H4 5583 Long breakout
H3 5553 Go Short
H2 5544
H1 5534
L1 5514
L2 5504
L3 5495 Long
L4 5465 Short Breakout
L5 5440 Trgt 1
L6 5415 Trgt 2
Trading Levels for 01-02-11
R2 5593
R1 5549
AVG 5483
S1 5439
S2 5373
S3 5329
Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 01-02-2011
R3 5747
R2 5684
R1 5610
AVG 5547
S1 5473
S2 5410
S3 5336
Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 01-02-2011
R3 11078
R2 10901
R1 10786
AVG 10609
S1 10494
S2 10317
S3 10202
Mid-session outlook(31-01-2011)
Nifty opened and firstly traded below 5460 in deep depressed sentiments today morning and got intraday support at lower levels. All supports have been broken and only Wave-3 trendline support is left which is at 5460. Nifty trading above it at present and if sustains above then other bulls supporting points will be considered. My view is Bullish but cautious also because Nifty is trading below 200-Day EMA. Let more consolidation and support emerge then up move expectations will certainly be considered despite crashing global markets and Egypt internal problems.
Nifty hovering around 5460 and its sustaining beyond will be watched first for the begining of next moves.
Nifty hovering around 5460 and its sustaining beyond will be watched first for the begining of next moves.
NIFTY-FEB F&O-2ND BUYING OF 27-01-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY FEB F & O(BOUGHT ON 27-01-2011)-GLOBAL CRASH DUE TO EGYPT INTERNAL PROBLEM.HOLD AND JUST WAIT FOR MY COVERING MESSAGE.
Pre-Open Market Outlook(31-01-2011)
Firstly US markets corrected sharply after Egypt internal unrest and after that all Asian markets are also steep down today morning. As other markets were overbought therefore their correction was natural but Indian markets are oversold and will react this news in another manner. Gravity of Egyption problem and repercussion on global economy is not known yet and all the global markets are reacting with sharp declines since its eruption.
SGX Nifty is also trading more than 90 points down since morning today. Indian markets long term trend is at stake. Sentiment completely depressed today morning and sustaining beyond 5460(spot) will decide fate of long term trend.
Let Indian markets react global crash today then will be decided according to intraday charts patterns.
200-Day EMA broken but Uptrend is Still Intact
Weekly Analysis- 31-01-2011 to 04-02-2011
200-Day EMA broken down last Thursday and Nifty dipped more than 3% from it last Friday as well as 2 sessions closing below it is putting a question mark that whether Indian markets are entering into Bear phase. Most Bullish started month is ending in most Bearish mood. Sentiment was at its peak in the begining and at the bottom in the last and both are extreme points,Financial markets are tend to reverse in extreme(over bought/over sold) situations.
200-Day EMA broken down in last week as well as Wave 3 trendline also tested but Nifty reversed also without breaching it. It means wave 3 and uptrend is still intact and Indian markets have not entered into Bearish Phase yet.
1-Waves Structure Chart:-
ABC correction is continued for the last 4 months and Wave 'C' corrected 100% of Wave 'A' in last week. its calculations are as follows:-
A Wave -6339-5690=corrected 649 Points
C Wave- 6181-6460=corrected 721 Points
C Wave- 6181-5512(closing)=corrected 669 Points
2 Strong support ranges are as follows:-
Strong Support Range-5349-5550
Strong Support Range-5210-5349
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Nifty retraced and moved within 50% and 61.8% retracement levels last Friday and strong supports within this range also therefore dipping below 61.6%(5379) and then breaking down of 5210 will mean neutralising of strong supports and certain entering into bearish markets to test much lower levels. Sustaining above 50%(5562) and then crossing 200-Day EMA(5650) will mean continuation of upmove after completion of correction.
3-Fibonacci Retracement Levels Chart:-
Conclusions
ABC correction is continued and it is only correction and it also means that after its completion those bullish moves of Wave-3 will be seen about which Indian markets dreamed in the begining of year 2011. Certainly it is worrysome for the Bullishness of Indian markets that 200-Day EMA broken down with force in last week and more than 3% down move from it have been happened as well as Nifty has closed below it 2 days also. If Nifty close below 5650 on next Monday then its breaking down will be almost confirm. Sustaining below 200-Day EMA will certainly be strong indication of begining of Bear markets but Wave-3 trend line has not breached yet and Nifty reversed sharply after testing it last Friday. It means that uptrend is still alive despite breaking down of 200-Day EMA. Wave 'C' of 'ABC' correction has retraced 100% of Wave 'A' last Friday and completion of ABC correction possibility will be considered if Nifty sustaining above last Friday lowest(6460).
Strong supports within 5210-5550 and Nifty traded within it last Friday and Indian markets require complete selling patterns to break it down. Jan 2011 correction is only 'ABC' correction and no distribution pattern therefore it will be understood only correction despite breaking down of 200-Day EMA. I would like add here that no big selling pattrens on intraday charts in the steep fall of 2011. As wave 'c' has also retraced 100% therefore expected that correction will complete near the bottom of last Friday and fresh rally will be seen after completion of 'ABC' correction. No thumb rule for financial markets and if consolidation seen in the begining of week then it will be strong indication of correction completion and then 200-Day EMA crossing upward possibility will be high.
Firstly consolidations and then Up moves expected in the coming week.
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy for 31-01-2011
H6 5876 Trgt 2
H5 5798 Trgt 1
H4 5721 Long breakout
H3 5628 Go Short
H2 5597
H1 5567
L1 5505
L2 5474
L3 5443 Long
L4 5350 Short Breakout
L5 5273 Trgt 1
L6 5195 Trgt 2
Trading Levels for 31-01-11 & Next Week Levels
Nifty Spot Levels for 31-01-2011
R3 5751.33
R2 5682.67
R1 5597.33
AVG 5528.67
S1 5443.33
S2 5374.67
S3 5289.33
Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 31-01-2011
R3 5747.33
R2 5684.67
R1 5610.33
AVG 5547.67
S1 5473.33
S2 5410.67
S3 5336.33
Bank Nifty Feb Futures Levels for 31-01-2011
R3 10992.33
R2 10875.67
R1 10755.33
AVG 10638.67
S1 10518.33
S2 10401.67
S3 10281.33
Nifty Spot Weekly Levels (31 Jan to 04 Feb 2011)
R3 6064.67
R2 5933.33
R1 5722.67
AVG 5591.33
S1 5380.67
S2 5249.33
S3 5038.67
UK Sinha appointed new SEBI chairman
UTI chief UK Sinha has been appointed as the new SEBI chairman, reports CNBC-TV18. According to government sources a formal decision had been taken earlier today.
Sinha, an former IAS officer of Bihar cadre (1976 batch), had worked in Ministry of Finance as the Joint Secretary, in-charge of capital markets, external commercial borrowings, banking and currency and coins.
 |
Here is a verbatim transcript of Siddharth Zarabi’s comments on CNBC-TV18. Also see the accompanying video.
It is a done deal. We have confirmed from senior finance ministry officials that a decision—the formal order which is taken at the highest level has been taken. Mr UK Sinha has been appointed the new Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Board of India with five year tenure. Sinha was in the IAS while his last posting in the ministry was as Joint Secretary of the capital markets division—a crucial division in the finance ministry in the department of economic affairs many years back. He is 59 years old so he has a five-year tenure essentially till the age of 64. He takes over from CB Bhave—very soon CB Bhave’s tenure is coming to an end. So effectively beginning February Sinha will be the new SEBI Chairman.
Clearly, this is sort of a second time lucky event for Mr Sinha, he was earlier in the race for the SEBI chairperson’s job but at that point of time a last minute decision at the level of the government saw CB Bhave get that position. He is currently the chairman and managing director of UTIs asset management company. If you look at Sinha’s track record in terms of being appointed as the securities market regulator he is perhaps one of the most qualified people that are around to be eligible for this post and to be appointed for this.
The run up to this selection saw several people throw in their hats into the ring including a former top banker of the government, senior serving secretary level officer of the government of India but clearly when you look at Mr Sinha’s credentials remember he was the joint secretary for capital markets which is a key posting when it comes to formulation of capital markets policy as far as North Block and the government of India is concerned. He has exposure subsequent to that in Bombay through the position that he currently holds.
He has authored for the government, for the finance ministry some while back sort of reformed report on the way forward for capital market s and clearly given both his personality his style of operations, perhaps one of the most suited, most experienced people to be appointed to this position.
Clearly, while the expectation and the decision at the level of the search and selection committee headed by Cabinet Secretary had been taken in December. The formal orders have now come and decision has been taken. We don’t know whether the formal orders have been physically served on him but clearly from what we learn from the finance ministry it will now be Mr Sinha’s tenure at the SEBI for the next five years.
SOURCE: http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/uk-sinha-appointed-new-sebi-chairman_516951.html
NIFTY-FEB F&O-2ND BUYING OF 27-01-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY FEB F & O(BOUGHT ON 27-01-2011)-HOLD AND COVERING WILL BE DONE IN NEXT WEEK
NIFTY-FEB F&O-2ND BUYING OF 27-01-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY FEB F & O(BOUGHT ON 27-01-2011)-MARKETS WILL BE VOLATILE TODAY THEREFORE HOLD AND COVER ONLY AFTER MY COVERING MESSAGE
Long Term Trend is at Stake
Nifty closed below 200-Day EMA(today at 5651) yesterday and before it Nifty closed below it on 25-05-2010 for one day and recovered next day as well as formed new top of the rally within 2 months. Sustaining below 200-Day EMA will be confirmation of long term trend coverting into downward direction. Although negative factors are high at present but sustaining below it not expected and recovery expected because intermediate term correction Wave-3 is on and it should be complted near about 200-Day EMA. Let market sustain below then bearish market will be considered otherwise outlook will remain bullish for the reasons already been given in last 4/5 sessions Outlooks.
Nifty traded last 25 minutes near 5600 yesterday and first of all 5600 will be watched for next immediate move confirmation. Sustaining beyond will be confirmation of immediate survival/termination of Long term trend. If Nifty sustains above then hopes will remain alive and sustaining below will mean long term trend is confirm down. Although strong support at 5630 broken down by force yesterday but it is matter of long term trend decision therefore 100% confirmation is required.
Let market finalise and sustain then will be explained according to the conclusions from intraday charts.
Long Term Trend is at stake and not down yet.
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